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Out Look for Bio Fuels- a Japanese Perspective

November 9, 2006 Energy and Environmental Design Co., Ltd.
Koichi Kato, Ph.D.

Contents

1.Current Status in Japan
2.Major Discussions
3.Technology, Environment and Economics
4.Future Prospects
5.Conclusions

Current Status in Japan

Energy demand by type
Dependence on Gasoline and Diesel
Number of Vehicles in Use

Primary Energy Supply

 

Change in Domestic Demand for Oil Products

Number of Vehicles in Use

Bio Fuel Legislation

Current Status and Outlook in Japan
                  Ethanol

Current Status of Ethanol in Japan

Less production of Ethanol in Japan: 350,000Kl/Y
・Government seems to promote Ethanol application.
・ Financial Support for Sugar Cane Production
・ Targeted Mixing Ratio is 10% (now 3%)
・ Preparation of Mixed Fuel Supply network
・ Looking for better technology and possible
Feedstock

Major Discussion on Ethanol in Japan

Availability: Ethanol 1,800,000Kl needed in case E3
with 60,000,000 Kl/Y of gasoline consumption
・Economics: import from Brazil ?
Ethanol price : 50yen/l or higher(2004)
・Technological: effect on distribution
     phase separation
     RVP adjustment

filling machine corrosion

Phase Separation Temperature vs. Water Content in Gasohol

Vapor Pressure Raise by Ethanol Mixing to Gasoline

Sugarcane to Gasohol

Co2 Emission Reduction Effect of Gasohol

Government's drive for Ethanol

・Technical Guideline for Gasohol Car
・Tax Exemption for Ethanol Portion
・Targeted Mixing Ratio is 10% (now 3%)
・Financial Support for Sugar Cane Production
・Preparation of Mixed Fuel Supply network
・Supporting Local Realization Program

Local Biomass Ethanol Trial in Japan

Gasohol Introduction Road-Map

Conclusions (1) Ethanol in Japan

Government seems to promote Ethanol application
mainly because of KP. Target is 500,000Kl in 2010.
Mixing Ratio to gasoline is 3% (then 10%)
Small production in Japan because of almost no
feedstock. Ethanol import from Brazil needed.
Bio-Ethanol local area is planed for realization.
ETBE also being planed.
Governmental plan may have some delay.

Current Status and Outlook in Japan
                      BDF

Current Status of BDF in Japan

・Production of 2,000Kl from used vegetable oil.
Used BDF 100% with tax exemption.
・Shortage of feedstock for BDF in Japan
・Government is pushing BDF slowly mainly
because of KP. Targeted Mixing Ratio is 5%
・Private sector plans to import BDF to Japan after
producing in Asia with their feedstock.

Major Discussion on BDF in Japan

・Availability: BDF 2,250,000Kl needed in case B5
       with 45,000,000 Kl/Y of Diesel consumption.
・Economics: import ? from Asia? BDF or Feed ?
       BDF price : 75yen/l or higher(2004)
 ・Tax: exempt only B100
・Technological:
Usage: Car makers have concerns because of low grade of BDF.
Production: Spot (small sized) production may be needed.

Estimation of Food and Wasted Oil in Japan

BDF Plants now in Japan
as of November 2006

Research on BDF Process

 

Government's drive for BDF

・Technical Guideline for BDF Car
・Tax Exemption for BDF Portion
・Financial Support for Production
・Targeted Mixing Ratio is 5% (then 10%)
・Financial Support for Research (NEDO)

BDF Introduction Road-Map

Japan-Indonesia Cooperation

Tentative Schedule

BDF Marketability in Japan

BDF non-marketable with tax
BDF marketable in some time (year 2000 and after) if tax exempt

Conclusions (2) BDF in Japan

・Government promotes BDF introduction because of
 KP but less than Ethanol. Target is B5 in 2010.
・Small production (2,000Kl) in Japan from wasted oil.
 Difficult for expansion because of no feedstock.
・BDF(or feedstock) import from Asia needed.
・Private sector plans production abroad and import.
・Technology for small sized BDF plant may need.
・Introduction of BDF will come slowly.

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